Simon Willison’s Weblog

What people get wrong about the leading Chinese open models: Adoption and censorship (via) While I've been enjoying trying out Alibaba's Qwen 3 a lot recently, Nathan Lambert focuses on the elephant in the room:

People vastly underestimate the number of companies that cannot use Qwen and DeepSeek open models because they come from China. This includes on-premise solutions built by people who know the fact that model weights alone cannot reveal anything to their creators.

The root problem here is the closed nature of the training data. Even if a model is open weights, it's not possible to conclusively determine that it couldn't add backdoors to generated code or trigger "indirect influence of Chinese values on Western business systems". Qwen 3 certainly has baked in opinions about the status of Taiwan!

Nathan sees this as an opportunity for other liberally licensed models, including his own team's OLMo:

This gap provides a big opportunity for Western AI labs to lead in open models. Without DeepSeek and Qwen, the top tier of models we’re left with are Llama and Gemma, which both have very restrictive licenses when compared to their Chinese counterparts. These licenses are proportionally likely to block an IT department from approving a model.

This takes us to the middle tier of permissively licensed, open weight models who actually have a huge opportunity ahead of them: OLMo, of course, I’m biased, Microsoft with Phi, Mistral, IBM (!??!), and some other smaller companies to fill out the long tail.