Simon Willison’s Weblog

The most interesting thing about Anthropic's $65B Series H announcement is this line (emphasis mine):

Since our Series G in February, adoption has continued to grow across global enterprise customers, and our run-rate revenue crossed $47 billion earlier this month.

Anthropic have made a bit of a habit of sharing their "run-rate revenue" in this kind of announcement, which is an annualized projection of their current revenue - typically calculated by taking the most recent month and multiplying by 12.

Earlier this year:

• Apr 6, 2026 in Anthropic expands partnership with Google and Broadcom: "Our run-rate revenue has now surpassed $30 billion—up from approximately $9 billion at the end of 2025."
• Feb 12, 2026 in Anthropic raises $30 billion in Series G: "Today, our run-rate revenue is $14 billion, with this figure growing over 10x annually in each of those past three years."

I had Claude Opus 4.8 make me this chart using Matplotlib (Claude: "a data line chart is more straightforward matplotlib work—not really a design piece"):

Back in April Axios CEO Jim VandeHei wrote that he could not find "any company — in any industry, in any era — that has scaled organic revenue this quickly at this level as Anthropic" - and that was when they were at a paltry $30 billion.

(Also in Axios today is an anonymously sourced note that "An AI consultant tells Axios one of their clients recently spent half a billion dollars in a single month after failing to put usage limits on Claude licenses for employees" - times that by 12 and you get an extra $6 billion in annualized run-rate!)

Ed Zitron was extremely skeptical of that $30 billion number - I wonder if his skepticism will update for the new $47 billion figure.

I've seen a few people dismiss this as untrustworthy, because the numbers come from Anthropic. That doesn't hold up: these numbers were included in announcements of their fundraises, and lying to investors who just put in $65 billion would be securities fraud. They're even less likely to lie given that the real numbers will no doubt come out in their S-1 when they file for their IPO.